Picks

2026-08-16 · back to today

• BAL @ TB(10-2)▼ Highlights & props

  12:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (76%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: BAL +135 / TB -135 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (83%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.1

• BOS @ PIT(3-8)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (75%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: BOS -105 / PIT +105 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.9 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.2

• AZ @ ATL(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  AZ (79%)HighUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: AZ +118 / ATL -118 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (74%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.0

• NYY @ TOR(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  1:37:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (75%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYY +114 / TOR -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 6.7 (54%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 6.5

• WSH @ NYM(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (63%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +151 / NYM -151 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5

• MIA @ CIN(7-1)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIA (77%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIA -114 / CIN +114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.0 (75%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5

• SD @ CLE(5-0)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (80%)HighUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SD -104 / CLE +104 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.0 (50%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.1

• CWS @ DET(7-5)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (76%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CWS +108 / DET -108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.3 (72%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• PHI @ MIN(7-5)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (75%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: PHI -101 / MIN +101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 9.5 (50%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5

• STL @ CHC(11-4)▼ Highlights & props

  3:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (78%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: STL +162 / CHC -162 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.8 (52%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.9

• COL @ SF(13-7)▼ Highlights & props

  4:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SF (75%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: COL +121 / SF -121 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.8 (53%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• TEX @ ATH(2-5)▼ Highlights & props

  4:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (76%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TEX -124 / ATH +124 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 9.6 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.8

• KC @ LAA(3-0)▼ Highlights & props

  4:07:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAA (92%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: KC -106 / LAA +106 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.7 (68%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.8

• MIL @ LAD(6-2)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (62%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL +166 / LAD -166 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.1 (54%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.3

• SEA @ HOU(3-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:20:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (95%)High🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA +114 / HOU -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.4 (76%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.8