Picks

2026-08-18 · back to today

• NYY @ BAL(3-1)▼ Highlights & props

  6:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BAL (62%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYY -103 / BAL +103 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.5 (50%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5

• MIA @ PHI(4-6)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (66%)Medium🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: MIA +196 / PHI -196 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.7 (75%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.2

• TOR @ TB(10-5)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (60%)Medium🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TOR +123 / TB -123 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.6 (51%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5

• SF @ CLE(1-8)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (75%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +176 / CLE -176 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.4 (56%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.1

• STL @ CIN(3-0)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (76%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: STL -110 / CIN +110 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (51%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.9

• DET @ PIT(1-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (58%)LowLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +141 / PIT -141 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (61%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• SD @ NYM(5-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (60%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SD -109 / NYM +109 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.3 (70%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5

• AZ @ BOS(4-9)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (74%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: AZ +155 / BOS -155 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (74%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.6

• SEA @ MIL(0-22)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (79%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA +159 / MIL -159 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.3 (63%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5

• ATH @ KC(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  KC (65%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATH +149 / KC -149 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.5 (58%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0

• ATL @ MIN(1-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (65%)Medium🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL -133 / MIN +133 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.6 (52%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.8

• CWS @ CHC(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (76%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CWS +159 / CHC -159 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (53%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.4

• WSH @ TEX(0-5)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (54%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +139 / TEX -139 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (74%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.7

• LAA @ HOU(3-1)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (79%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAA +152 / HOU -152 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.5 (59%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.0

• LAD @ COL(7-6)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (62%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAD -180 / COL +180 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 13.5 (83%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 11.5