Picks

2026-08-22 · back to today

• TOR @ NYY(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (95%)HighUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TOR -101 / NYY +101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 5.4 (68%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 6.5

• ATL @ MIL(1-4)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (84%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL +149 / MIL -149 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.4 (59%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.9

• WSH @ MIA(2-4)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIA (82%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +168 / MIA -168 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.8 (62%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5

• STL @ PHI(3-12)▼ Highlights & props

  6:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (82%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: STL +138 / PHI -138 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.7 (63%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.9

• LAA @ TEX(3-0)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAA (95%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAA +151 / TEX -151 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.0 (50%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• TB @ BAL(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (75%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TB -118 / BAL +118 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.7 (79%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• ATH @ HOU(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (68%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (68% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: ATH +215 / HOU -215 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.6 (60%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.9

• NYM @ CWS(10-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CWS (76%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYM +106 / CWS -106 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5

• PIT @ LAD(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (70%)High🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (70% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: PIT +236 / LAD -236 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.2 (61%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5

• DET @ KC(1-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  KC (53%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +100 / KC -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.4 (51%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.4

• CHC @ SEA(4-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (94%)HighUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CHC +108 / SEA -108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.3 (64%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5

• SF @ BOS(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (65%)Medium🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (65% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: SF +187 / BOS -187 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.5 (92%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• CIN @ AZ(11-5)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CIN (59%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CIN +158 / AZ -158 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.4 (57%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0

• CLE @ COL(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (79%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CLE -131 / COL +131 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 14.3 (95%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 11.0

• MIN @ SD(5-7)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (95%)HighUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIN +129 / SD -129 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.2 (52%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.3