Picks

2026-09-02 · back to today

• SD @ CIN(3-7)▼ Highlights & props

  12:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (88%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SD -146 / CIN +146 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (51%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +105 / U -105)

• ATL @ WSH(9-0)▼ Highlights & props

  1:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (56%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL -129 / WSH +129 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 9.4 (52%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• ATH @ TEX(9-2)▼ Highlights & props

  2:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (88%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATH +146 / TEX -146 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.5 (59%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• BAL @ COL(5-6)▼ Highlights & props

  3:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BAL (78%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: BAL -148 / COL +148 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 11.8 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 11.5 (O +109 / U -109)

• PHI @ AZ(0-1)▼ Highlights & props

  3:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  AZ (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: PHI -120 / AZ +120 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (61%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• SEA @ BOS(8-3)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (57%)LowLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA +135 / BOS -135 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.0 (75%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• SF @ PIT(5-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (81%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +137 / PIT -137 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.2 (78%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• NYM @ TB(10-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (78%)HighLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYM +159 / TB -159 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (56%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• TOR @ CLE(11-0)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TOR -119 / CLE +119 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.8 (53%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -110 / U +110)

• MIL @ CHC(9-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (59%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL -145 / CHC +145 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (68%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• MIA @ KC(9-6)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  KC (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIA +104 / KC -104 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.6 (57%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• DET @ MIN(11-6)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: DET +103 / MIN -103 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.2 (61%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• CWS @ HOU(0-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (79%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CWS +129 / HOU -129 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (58%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• NYY @ LAA(6-3)▼ Highlights & props

  9:38:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (88%)HighLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYY -149 / LAA +149 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 6.9 (57%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 6.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• STL @ LAD(8-6)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (71%)HighConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (71% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: STL +249 / LAD -249 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (61%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)