Picks

2026-09-04 · back to today

• DET @ CLE(6-7)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (77%)HighEarly Read✗ LOSS

  Generated before betting odds were available for this game — the model's own independent read, not yet checked against the market.

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (53%)Low✓ WIN

• MIL @ CIN(10-7)▼ Highlights & props

  6:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (58%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL -145 / CIN +145 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.9 (57%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• ATL @ PHI(5-2)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: ATL -100 / PHI -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 6.6 (52%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +106 / U -106)

• LAA @ PIT(0-1)▼ Highlights & props

  6:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (67%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAA +175 / PIT -175 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (54%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -107 / U +107)

• BOS @ BAL(1-0)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BAL (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BOS -106 / BAL +106 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.9 (65%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• SF @ NYM(6-10)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (65%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +176 / NYM -176 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.7 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +102 / U -102)

• CHC @ MIA(6-1)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (59%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CHC -148 / MIA +148 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.3 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• DET @ CLE(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (60%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +127 / CLE -127 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.6 (61%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)

• MIN @ CWS(1-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN +107 / CWS -107 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.3 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• TB @ TEX(7-6)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (56%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB +109 / TEX -109 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• AZ @ HOU(1-3)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (66%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: AZ +119 / HOU -119 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.5 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• TOR @ KC(9-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (51%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TOR +106 / KC -106 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 11.0 (66%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 10.0 (O +103 / U -103)

• STL @ COL(7-6)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: STL -115 / COL +115 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 12.3 (62%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• NYY @ SD(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYY -104 / SD +104 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +110 / U -110)

• ATH @ SEA(7-6)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (66%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: ATH +205 / SEA -205 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.8 (63%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -108 / U +108)

• WSH @ LAD(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (71%)High🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (71% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: WSH +238 / LAD -238 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.4 (51%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)