Picks

2026-09-05 · back to today

• CHC @ MIA(6-5)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CHC -117 / MIA +117 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.0 (58%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -109 / U +109)

• SF @ NYM(9-5)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (62%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +152 / NYM -152 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.3 (70%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)

• ATL @ PHI(2-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (59%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL +148 / PHI -148 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.0 (51%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -105 / U +105)

• DET @ CLE(6-0)▼ Highlights & props

  6:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (67%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +147 / CLE -147 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.9 (52%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +109 / U -109)

• MIL @ CIN(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (67%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL -139 / CIN +139 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.6 (77%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• LAA @ PIT(6-1)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (65%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAA +167 / PIT -167 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.9 (60%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• BOS @ BAL(5-0)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (56%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BOS -116 / BAL +116 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.8 (54%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• TB @ TEX(6-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB +101 / TEX -101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.7 (60%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +106 / U -106)

• MIN @ CWS(6-4)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN +111 / CWS -111 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.5 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• TOR @ KC(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TOR -100 / KC -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.3 (63%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• AZ @ HOU(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: AZ -100 / HOU -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (63%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -103 / U +103)

• NYY @ SD(5-1)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYY +119 / SD -119 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.1 (56%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• STL @ COL(7-10)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  COL (54%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: STL -115 / COL +115 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 12.0 (65%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• WSH @ LAD(5-6)▼ Highlights & props

  9:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (66%)Medium🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: WSH +167 / LAD -167 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.5 (58%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• ATH @ SEA(6-2)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (68%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (68% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: ATH +208 / SEA -208 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.8 (72%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +102 / U -102)