Picks

2026-09-06 · back to today

• MIL @ CIN(8-12)▼ Highlights & props

  12:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (57%)LowLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL -133 / CIN +133 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.6 (83%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +103 / U -103)

• ATL @ PHI(5-4)▼ Highlights & props

  1:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: ATL +101 / PHI -101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (56%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• LAA @ PIT(0-1)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (62%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAA +161 / PIT -161 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.6 (55%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -109 / U +109)

• BOS @ BAL(3-1)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BOS -121 / BAL +121 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.8 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• CHC @ MIA(3-10)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (68%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CHC -133 / MIA +133 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.0 (50%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -105 / U +105)

• SF @ NYM(2-4)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (60%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +151 / NYM -151 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.4 (72%)High✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• DET @ CLE(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (60%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +151 / CLE -151 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.0 (50%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• TOR @ KC(1-6)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TOR -113 / KC +113 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.1 (59%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• AZ @ HOU(3-2)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  AZ (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: AZ +101 / HOU -101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (57%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• TB @ TEX(6-8)▼ Highlights & props

  2:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (56%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB -100 / TEX -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.2 (60%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +103 / U -103)

• STL @ COL(10-8)▼ Highlights & props

  3:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: STL -122 / COL +122 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 12.0 (67%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• NYY @ SD(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (51%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYY +110 / SD -110 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.6 (56%)LowPUSH

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +105 / U -105)

• ATH @ SEA(0-2)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (66%)Medium🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: ATH +193 / SEA -193 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.9 (64%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• MIN @ CWS(1-10)▼ Highlights & props

  6:20:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CWS (57%)LowLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIN +135 / CWS -135 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.2 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• WSH @ LAD(5-7)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (64%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +180 / LAD -180 (9 books)

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.2 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -105 / U +105)