Picks
2026-09-09 · back to today
- MoneylineMIN (57%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: MIN +114 / DET -114 (9 books)Run LineMIN (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: DET -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.3 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineATH (67%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: TOR -156 / ATH +156 (9 books)Run LineTOR (61%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.8 (55%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.5 (O +107 / U -107)
- MoneylineSTL (53%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: STL -108 / SF +108 (9 books)Run LineSF (59%)Low✓ WINLine: SF +1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.1 (56%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineTEX (64%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: TEX +137 / SEA -137 (9 books)Run LineTEX (85%)High✓ WINLine: SEA -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.2 (79%)High✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineSD (55%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: WSH +174 / SD -174 (9 books)Run LineWSH (61%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: SD -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.6 (56%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineCLE (55%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CLE -107 / BAL +107 (9 books)Run LineBAL (69%)Medium✓ WINLine: BAL +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.1 (60%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -105 / U +105)
- MoneylineNYM (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: NYM +114 / MIA -114 (9 books)Run LineMIA (58%)Low✗ LOSSLine: MIA -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.9 (74%)High✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineHOU (64%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU +138 / PHI -138 (9 books)Run LineHOU (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: PHI -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.9 (52%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineBOS (66%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSSThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: LAA +191 / BOS -191 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✓ WINLine: BOS -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.8 (52%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineNYY (69%)Medium🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (69% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: COL +216 / NYY -216 (9 books)Run LineNYY (61%)Medium✓ WINLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.3 (55%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineTB (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TB +114 / ATL -114 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)High✓ WINLine: ATL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.3 (53%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -102 / U +102)
- MoneylineKC (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: AZ -109 / KC +109 (9 books)Run LineKC (85%)High✓ WINLine: KC +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.3 (63%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineMIL (56%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CHC +118 / MIL -118 (9 books)Run LineMIL (56%)Low✓ WINLine: MIL -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.6 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylinePIT (66%)Medium🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: PIT +122 / CWS -122 (9 books)Run LinePIT (85%)High✓ WINLine: CWS -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.7 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineLAD (71%)High🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (71% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: CIN +248 / LAD -248 (9 books)Run LineLAD (77%)High✓ WINLine: LAD -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.3 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)