Picks
2026-09-12 · back to today
- MoneylineDET (69%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: COL +149 / DET -149 (9 books)Run LineCOL (50%)Low✗ LOSSLine: DET -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.5 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +107 / U -107)
- MoneylineNYY (57%)LowLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: NYM +148 / NYY -148 (9 books)Run LineNYM (74%)High✓ WINLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 10.0 (83%)High✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineCHC (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: PIT +114 / CHC -114 (9 books)Run LineCHC (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: CHC -1.5Total RunsOVER 10.5 (66%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.5 (O -102 / U +102)
- MoneylineTOR (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: BAL +122 / TOR -122 (9 books)Run LineBAL (64%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: TOR -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.4 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineSD (66%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SD -169 / SF +169 (9 books)Run LineSF (72%)High✓ WINLine: SF +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.8 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineLAA (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: LAA +121 / WSH -121 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✓ WINLine: WSH -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.9 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineLAD (68%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: LAD -149 / MIA +149 (9 books)Run LineLAD (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: MIA +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.8 (62%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineCLE (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CLE -100 / MIN -100 (9 books)Run LineCLE (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: MIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.9 (56%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +105 / U -105)
- MoneylineBOS (66%)Medium🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: KC +197 / BOS -197 (9 books)Run LineKC (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: BOS -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.4 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineHOU (50%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU +133 / TB -133 (9 books)Run LineHOU (52%)Low✓ WINLine: TB -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.5 (50%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineMIL (68%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CIN +170 / MIL -170 (9 books)Run LineMIL (85%)High✓ WINLine: MIL -1.5Total RunsOVER 10.4 (80%)High✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineSTL (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CWS -102 / STL +102 (9 books)Run LineSTL (85%)High✓ WINLine: STL +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.6 (52%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineATL (58%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: PHI +126 / ATL -126 (9 books)Run LinePHI (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: ATL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.8 (61%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +106 / U -106)
- MoneylineAZ (57%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TEX +122 / AZ -122 (9 books)Run LineAZ (78%)High✗ LOSSLine: AZ -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.3 (55%)LowPUSHVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineSEA (54%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SEA -139 / ATH +139 (9 books)Run LineSEA (64%)Medium✓ WINLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsUNDER 9.0 (59%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.5 (O +103 / U -103)