Picks

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2026-09-14 · back to today

Moneyline
LAD (66%)Medium🔥×6 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN
The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.
Vegas: LAD -195 / CIN +195 (9 books)
Run Line
LAD (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: CIN +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 9.8 (88%)High✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
CLE (64%)MediumLean✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: CWS +141 / CLE -141 (9 books)
Run Line
CLE (53%)Low✗ LOSS
Line: CLE -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 7.4 (56%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +108 / U -108)
Moneyline
DET (61%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: DET +131 / TOR -131 (9 books)
Run Line
DET (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: TOR -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 9.2 (77%)High✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +102 / U -102)
Moneyline
NYM (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: BAL +129 / NYM -129 (9 books)
Run Line
NYM (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: NYM -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.3 (54%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
Moneyline
NYY (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: NYY -114 / MIN +114 (9 books)
Run Line
NYY (63%)Medium✓ WIN
Line: MIN +1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 8.0 (50%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
Moneyline
ATL (52%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: ATL +123 / CHC -123 (9 books)
Run Line
ATL (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: CHC -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 10.1 (59%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
SF (67%)MediumLean✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: SF +130 / STL -130 (9 books)
Run Line
SF (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: STL -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.4 (65%)Medium✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)
Moneyline
SD (69%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: SD -195 / COL +195 (9 books)
Run Line
SD (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: COL +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 13.1 (85%)High✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O -107 / U +107)
Moneyline
SEA (57%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: SEA -100 / LAA -100 (9 books)
Run Line
LAA (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: LAA +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.2 (61%)Medium✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +104 / U -104)
Moneyline
AZ (56%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: MIA +125 / AZ -125 (9 books)
Run Line
MIA (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: AZ -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.9 (56%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

Picks

LAD @ CIN(4-1)▼ Highlights & props

CWS @ CLE(7-3)▼ Highlights & props

DET @ TOR(6-5)▼ Highlights & props

BAL @ NYM(2-1)▼ Highlights & props

NYY @ MIN(8-3)▼ Highlights & props

ATL @ CHC(3-7)▼ Highlights & props

SF @ STL(1-2)▼ Highlights & props

SD @ COL(8-7)▼ Highlights & props

SEA @ LAA(4-6)▼ Highlights & props

MIA @ AZ(7-8)▼ Highlights & props