Picks
2026-09-16 · back to today
- MoneylineCLE (66%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CWS +142 / CLE -142 (9 books)Run LineCLE (85%)High✓ WINLine: CLE -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (65%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineSF (57%)Low🐶🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SF +145 / STL -145 (9 books)Run LineSF (85%)High✓ WINLine: STL -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.0 (67%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineNYY (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: NYY -141 / MIN +141 (9 books)Run LineNYY (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: MIN +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.9 (52%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineDET (68%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: DET +124 / TOR -124 (9 books)Run LineDET (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: TOR -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.6 (67%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineLAD (66%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSSThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: LAD -193 / CIN +193 (9 books)Run LineLAD (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: CIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.0 (58%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +106 / U -106)
- MoneylineTB (68%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: ATH +162 / TB -162 (9 books)Run LineTB (65%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: TB -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.5 (58%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineMIL (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: MIL -115 / PIT +115 (9 books)Run LineMIL (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: PIT +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.4 (52%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +106 / U -106)
- MoneylinePHI (50%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: PHI -175 / WSH +175 (9 books)Run LineWSH (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: WSH +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.2 (53%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineNYM (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: BAL +108 / NYM -108 (9 books)Run LineBAL (58%)Low✓ WINLine: NYM -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.4 (56%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineCHC (57%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: ATL +145 / CHC -145 (9 books)Run LineATL (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: CHC -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.3 (63%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineBOS (57%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: BOS -103 / TEX +103 (9 books)Run LineTEX (85%)High✓ WINLine: TEX +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.2 (54%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +101 / U -101)
- MoneylineHOU (59%)LowLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: KC +152 / HOU -152 (9 books)Run LineKC (85%)High✓ WINLine: HOU -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.9 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineCOL (65%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SD -155 / COL +155 (9 books)Run LineCOL (81%)High✗ LOSSLine: COL +1.5Total RunsUNDER 10.8 (52%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 11.0 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineLAA (50%)LowLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SEA -119 / LAA +119 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: LAA +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.8 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineAZ (59%)LowLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIA +129 / AZ -129 (9 books)Run LineMIA (85%)High✓ WINLine: AZ -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.6 (59%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O +102 / U -102)