Picks
2026-09-19 · back to today
- MoneylineDET (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: DET +116 / CWS -116 (9 books)Run LineDET (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: CWS -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.7 (77%)High✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineBAL (50%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: MIL +101 / BAL -101 (9 books)Run LineBAL (51%)Low✓ WINLine: BAL +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.7 (71%)High✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineNYM (53%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: PHI +114 / NYM -114 (9 books)Run LinePHI (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: NYM -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.8 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineTB (66%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: BOS +135 / TB -135 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: TB -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)
- MoneylineCLE (68%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: ATH +166 / CLE -166 (9 books)Run LineCLE (66%)Medium✓ WINLine: CLE -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.8 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylinePIT (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: KC +108 / PIT -108 (9 books)Run LineKC (85%)High✓ WINLine: PIT -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.7 (55%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +106 / U -106)
- MoneylineCHC (58%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CHC -131 / CIN +131 (9 books)Run LineCHC (85%)High✓ WINLine: CIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 10.1 (69%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineTEX (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TOR +104 / TEX -104 (9 books)Run LineTEX (85%)High✓ WINLine: TEX +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.6 (52%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineATL (65%)Medium🐶🐶🐶🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: ATL +126 / HOU -126 (9 books)Run LineATL (85%)High✓ WINLine: HOU -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.3 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineWSH (54%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: WSH +102 / STL -102 (9 books)Run LineWSH (77%)High✓ WINLine: STL +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.8 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -108 / U +108)
- MoneylineNYY (68%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: NYY -148 / AZ +148 (9 books)Run LineNYY (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: AZ +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +111 / U -111)
- MoneylineSEA (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SEA -133 / COL +133 (9 books)Run LineCOL (61%)Medium✓ WINLine: COL +1.5Total RunsOVER 12.3 (69%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 10.5 (O -108 / U +108)
- MoneylineSD (69%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIA +142 / SD -142 (9 books)Run LineSD (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: SD -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.7 (69%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineLAD (77%)High🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (77% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: SF +343 / LAD -343 (9 books)Run LineLAD (85%)High✓ WINLine: LAD -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.2 (61%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)
- MoneylineLAA (54%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: MIN +114 / LAA -114 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✓ WINLine: LAA +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.1 (57%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +114 / U -114)