Picks

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2026-09-20 · back to today

Moneyline
NYM (66%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: PHI -142 / NYM +142 (9 books)
Run Line
NYM (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: NYM +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.4 (64%)Medium✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
PIT (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: KC +108 / PIT -108 (9 books)
Run Line
PIT (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: PIT +1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 8.5 (50%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
Moneyline
CLE (68%)Medium🔥×6 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN
The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (68% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.
Vegas: ATH +214 / CLE -214 (9 books)
Run Line
CLE (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: CLE -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.2 (70%)High✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +101 / U -101)
Moneyline
CHC (69%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: CHC -145 / CIN +145 (9 books)
Run Line
CHC (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: CIN +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 10.0 (59%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +101 / U -101)
Moneyline
TB (60%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: BOS +137 / TB -137 (9 books)
Run Line
TB (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: TB -1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +106 / U -106)
Moneyline
ATL (66%)Medium🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: ATL +136 / HOU -136 (9 books)
Run Line
ATL (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: HOU -1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 7.8 (53%)Low✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
Moneyline
CWS (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: DET +106 / CWS -106 (9 books)
Run Line
CWS (63%)Medium✓ WIN
Line: CWS +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.8 (64%)Medium✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -105 / U +105)
Moneyline
WSH (54%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: WSH +119 / STL -119 (9 books)
Run Line
WSH (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: STL -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 9.0 (58%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -106 / U +106)
Moneyline
TEX (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: TOR +151 / TEX -151 (9 books)
Run Line
TEX (54%)Low✗ LOSS
Line: TEX -1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 7.3 (53%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +111 / U -111)
Moneyline
COL (51%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: SEA -145 / COL +145 (9 books)
Run Line
SEA (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: COL +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 11.4 (57%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
MIN (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: MIN -106 / LAA +106 (9 books)
Run Line
LAA (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: LAA +1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 7.5 (58%)LowPUSH
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)
Moneyline
NYY (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS
The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.
Vegas: NYY +115 / AZ -115 (9 books)
Run Line
NYY (85%)High✗ LOSS
Line: AZ +1.5
Total Runs
UNDER 7.9 (52%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
LAD (70%)High🔥×7 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WIN
The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (70% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.
Vegas: SF +239 / LAD -239 (9 books)
Run Line
LAD (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: LAD -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 9.3 (63%)Medium✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
Moneyline
SD (69%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: MIA +139 / SD -139 (9 books)
Run Line
SD (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: SD -1.5
Total Runs
OVER 8.9 (65%)Medium✓ WIN
Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
Moneyline
MIL (65%)MediumLean✓ WIN
The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.
Vegas: MIL -185 / BAL +185 (9 books)
Run Line
MIL (85%)High✓ WIN
Line: BAL +1.5
Total Runs
OVER 7.9 (56%)Low✗ LOSS
Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +103 / U -103)

Picks

PHI @ NYM(7-2)▼ Highlights & props

KC @ PIT(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

ATH @ CLE(0-1)▼ Highlights & props

CHC @ CIN(9-1)▼ Highlights & props

BOS @ TB(1-5)▼ Highlights & props

ATL @ HOU(4-2)▼ Highlights & props

DET @ CWS(1-8)▼ Highlights & props

WSH @ STL(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

TOR @ TEX(7-2)▼ Highlights & props

SEA @ COL(2-1)▼ Highlights & props

MIN @ LAA(8-0)▼ Highlights & props

NYY @ AZ(4-8)▼ Highlights & props

SF @ LAD(1-3)▼ Highlights & props

MIA @ SD(3-7)▼ Highlights & props

MIL @ BAL(3-0)▼ Highlights & props