AISportsPlaysAccuracy
No toss-up split yet (NBA has no market-deference mechanism — see scoreNbaGame.ts), so every graded pick counts toward one record below.
Season
87 picks
Moneyline41-46(47.1%)
Spread (ATS)4-13(23.5%)
Total13-4(76.5%)
Last 10 days
49 picks
Moneyline22-27(44.9%)
Spread (ATS)3-12(20.0%)
Total11-4(73.3%)
Last 5 days
21 picks
Moneyline12-9(57.1%)
Spread (ATS)0-0
Total0-0
Calibration (season) — does a pick's stated confidence match its actual win rate?
Moneyline
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 60-69% | 5-12 | 29.4% |
| 70-79% | 29-24 | 54.7% |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Spread (ATS)
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 4-13 | 23.5% |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Total
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 13-4 | 76.5% |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
| Date | Picks | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | 4 | 3-1 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-26 | 9 | 5-4 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-24 | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 12 | 3-9 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-22 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2-0 | 2-0-0 |
| 2026-10-21 | 11 | 7-4 | 2-8-0 | 7-3-0 |
| 2026-10-20 | 3 | 0-3 | 1-2-0 | 2-1-0 |
| 2026-10-16 | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-15 | 2 | 2-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-14 | 7 | 4-3 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-07 | 5 | 3-2 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-06 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| 2026-10-05 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-03 | 1 | 1-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |