AISportsPlaysAccuracy
No toss-up split yet (NFL has no market-deference mechanism — see scoreNflGame.ts), so every graded pick counts toward one record below.
Season
107 picks
Moneyline63-43-1(59.4%)
Spread (ATS)36-53-4(40.4%)
Total56-36-1(60.9%)
Last 10 days
15 picks
Moneyline10-5(66.7%)
Spread (ATS)0-1(0.0%)
Total0-1(0.0%)
Last 5 days
13 picks
Moneyline9-4(69.2%)
Spread (ATS)0-0
Total0-0
Calibration (season) — does a pick's stated confidence match its actual win rate?
Moneyline
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 60-69% | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 70-79% | 54-32 | 62.8% |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Spread (ATS)
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 27-45 | 37.5% |
| 60-69% | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Total
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 56-36 | 60.9% |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
| Week | Picks | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 REG Wk 7 | 14 | 9-5 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 6 | 14 | 6-8 | 3-10-1 | 6-7-1 |
| 2026 REG Wk 5 | 15 | 9-5 | 6-8-1 | 12-3-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 4 | 16 | 12-4 | 7-7-2 | 6-10-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 3 | 16 | 10-6 | 8-8-0 | 12-4-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 2 | 16 | 9-7 | 8-8-0 | 10-6-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 1 | 16 | 8-8 | 4-12-0 | 10-6-0 |